[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-3416 ]

2026-05-03T19:33:30Z · 방법론: /methodology

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NO · 53% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

Antonelli wins in Miami to extend title lead

bbc_sport · ↗ original article

Market

Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.5450
VERDICT DIRECTIONNO
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.5312
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE168.5h

Jury split

L NO · 85%
Q NEUTRAL · 0%
S NEUTRAL · 0%

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-3416 ]