[ VERDICT // alpha1-sig-3415 ]

2026-05-03T19:33:20Z · Methodology: /methodology

[ ← OLDER ] [ BACK TO LIST ] [ NEWER → ]
YES · 59% UNANIMOUS [ PEND · 24H ]

News trigger

Antonelli wins in Miami to extend title lead

bbc_sport · ↗ original article

Market

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

YES PRICE AT VERDICT0.5450
VERDICT DIRECTIONYES
VERDICT CONFIDENCE0.5938
VERDICT TYPEunanimous
CATEGORYinternational
HOURS TO CLOSE168.5h

Jury split

L YES · 95%
Q NEUTRAL · 0%
S NEUTRAL · 0%

Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.

Outcome

[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]

User votes

—

[ ← OLDER ] [ BACK TO LIST ] [ NEWER → ]

[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-3415 ]