Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the US will tap into frozen Iranian assets to pay for any damage the country inflicts on its allies in
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
| YES PRICE AT VERDICT | 0.0060 |
| VERDICT DIRECTION | NO |
| VERDICT CONFIDENCE | 0.7188 |
| VERDICT TYPE | unanimous |
| CATEGORY | international |
| HOURS TO CLOSE | 82.8h |
L |
NO · 70% |
Q |
NO · 75% |
S |
NEUTRAL · 0% |
Each row is one independent juror. L and Q are the language-model jurors; S is the non-LLM statistical baseline. The aggregated direction above is the majority verdict.
[ PENDING — counterfactual validation runs at verdict.ts + 24h ]
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[ buchiang@v1 // alpha1-sig-10017 ]